Pythios is a geopolitical forecasting engine. It reads millions of signals across the planet and turns them into calibrated probabilities — so you see events forming before they make the news.
The engine
News wires, official statements, shipping and flight data, markets, seismic and hazard feeds — ingested and structured continuously.
The engine relates every new signal to the situations it touches, updating forecasts the moment the world moves.
Resolved questions feed back into the model. When Pythios says 20%, it happens about one time in five.
Delta
Delta is the cockpit on top of the engine. Open it and see exactly what changed since you last looked — every shifted probability, every tracked situation, on a live map of the world.
Every probability that shifted since your last session, ranked by how much it should matter to you.
Follow a conflict, a strait, an election. Delta watches it around the clock and tells you when it turns.
The whole world on one screen — scrub back through time to see how a situation developed.
Since you left
3 new signals — tanker rerouting around the Cape, insurer advisories, naval movement near Bandar Abbas.
Union and operator returned to mediation; ministry statement signals a framework deal.
Troop movements near the border corroborated by two independent satellite passes.
Tracked situations · 6
Probability of event within horizon
Who it's for
Government & defense
Indications and warning at machine speed — with the reasoning attached.
Markets
Price geopolitical risk before it prices you. Calibrated odds, updated live.
Corporate risk
Know when a route, supplier, or region turns — days before it hits operations.
Newsrooms & research
Every claim traceable to its signals. Cite the probability, show the evidence.
Track record
Every forecast is timestamped the moment it's made. When a question resolves, it's scored — and the scorecard goes here, whether it flatters us or not. First scorecard publishes Q4 2026.
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Mean Brier score
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Within ±5pp calibration
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Forecasts resolved
0.0M
Signals per day
First scorecard publishes Q4 2026 · updated live in Delta thereafter
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